The world’s oceans are littered with trillions of pieces of plastic — bottles, bags, toys, fishing nets and far more, largely in tiny particles — and now this seaborne junk is generating its way into the Arctic.

In a study published Wednesday in Science Advances, a group of researchers from the University of Cádiz in Spain and numerous other institutions show that a significant ocean current is carrying bits of plastic, mainly from the North Atlantic, to the Greenland and Barents seas, and leaving them there — in surface waters, in sea ice and possibly on the ocean floor.

Since climate modify is currently shrinking the Arctic sea ice cover, much more human activity in this nevertheless-isolated portion of the globe is increasingly likely as navigation becomes less complicated. As a result, plastic pollution, which has grown considerably around the world given that 1980, could spread much more extensively in the Arctic in decades to come, the researchers say.

Andrés Cózar Cabañas, the study’s lead author and a professor of biology at the University of Cádiz, said he was shocked by the benefits, and worried about possible outcomes.

“We do not totally realize the consequences the plastic is having or will have in our oceans,” he stated. “What we do know is that this consequences will be felt at higher scale in an ecosystem like this” simply because it is unlike any other on Earth.

Every year, about 8 million tons of plastic gets into the ocean, and scientists estimate that there might be as significantly as 110 million tons of plastic trash in the ocean. Although the environmental effects of plastic pollution are not totally understood, plastic pollution has produced its way into the meals chain. Plastic debris in the ocean was believed to accumulate in big patches, mainly in subtropical gyres — massive currents that converge in the middle of the ocean — but scientists estimate that only about 1 percent of plastic pollution is in these gyres and other surface waters in the open ocean.

Yet another model of ocean currents by one particular of the study’s authors predicted that plastic garbage could also accumulate in the Arctic Ocean, specifically in the Barents Sea, positioned off the northern coasts of Russia and Norway, which this study demonstrates.

The surface water plastic in the Arctic Ocean currently accounts for only about three % of the total, but the authors suggest the quantity will grow and that the seafloor there could be a large sink for plastic.

This specific component of the ocean is essential in the thermohaline circulation, a deepwater worldwide existing dictated by differences in temperature and salinity about the globe. As that current brings warm surface water up to the Arctic, it appears to be bringing with it plastic waste from more densely populated coastlines, dumping the now-fragmented pieces of plastic in the Arctic, exactly where landmasses like Greenland and the polar ice cap trap them.

The scientists sampled floating plastic debris from 42 web sites in the Arctic Ocean aboard Tara, a research vessel that completed a trip around the North Pole from June to October 2013, with data from two additional web sites from a prior trip. They scooped up plastic debris and determined the concentration of particles by dividing the dry weight of the plastic collected, excluding microfibers, by the location surveyed.

Nearly all of the plastic, measured by weight, was in fragments, mostly ranging from .5 millimeters to 12.six millimeters. The rest of the plastic appeared in the form of fishing line, film or pellets. This mix of plastic varieties is roughly constant with the kinds of plastic that gather in the subtropical gyres, though these parts of the ocean amasses a larger concentration of fishing line.

The researchers did not locate a lot of big pieces of plastic, nor did they uncover considerably plastic film, which breaks down rapidly, suggesting that the plastic has currently been in the ocean for a even though by the time it gets to the Arctic.

If the plastics were coming directly from Arctic coastlines, it would imply that people in the sparsely populated Arctic were depositing several much more instances the plastic in the ocean than folks in other components of the globe, which is unlikely. Shipping is also comparatively infrequent there and, the authors write, there is no cause to believe that flotsam or jetsam in the Arctic would be so a lot larger than in other parts of the planet.

The lesson from the study, Dr. Cózar Cabañas said, is that the situation of plastic pollution “will call for international agreements.”

“This plastic is coming from us in the North Atlantic,” he stated. “And the a lot more we know about what happens in the Arctic, the far better opportunity we have” of solving the difficulty.